Political analyst: Two states interested in destabilizing the  situation in Armenia

ArmInfo.  There are at least two states interested in destabilizing the situation in Armenia, but they are not openly demonstrating such intentions. This was stated by  political analyst Abraham Gasparyan, founder and director of the  Genesis Armenia analytical center, during a press conference in  Yerevan, when asked whether Syunik could become a flashpoint where  global players would find it more advantageous to maintain  instability rather than reach a final resolution.

According to him, Turkey is one of these countries. The expert  believes that the events in Syria should have served as a lesson for  Armenia. In the analyst's view, the Armenian authorities erroneously  believe that the normalization of relations with Turkey will  automatically lead to new opportunities or the opening of borders. As  Gasparyan explained, this approach fails to account for the scale of  Ankara's regional ambitions. In this regard, he recommended reviewing  Ahmet Davutoglu's 2013 geopolitical doctrine "Strategic Depth,"  noting that the Balkans and Syunik are highlighted among its key  focal areas. "In this sense, it must be kept in mind that Turkey is a  regional-caliber player, making it necessary to interact with it with  extreme caution. Even the United States understands this," the  political analyst noted.

According to the expert, the U.S. operates in the region primarily  through proxies because it lacks direct strategic interests here.  Turkey, he argued, serves as such a proxy for the U.S. The second  country interested in destabilizing the situation, according to the  analyst, is Iran. However, Gasparyan clarified that Tehran might only  be interested in this under one condition—if the Trump Route (TRIPP)  is implemented.